Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.402540 0.440109 0.480213 0.526307 0.577944 0.634144 0.700125
2026-02-08 0.341529 0.394140 0.454165 0.528145 0.617456 0.722529 0.856594
2026-02-15 0.302492 0.361800 0.432545 0.524001 0.640332 0.785040 0.981321
2026-02-22 0.276978 0.340842 0.419790 0.525895 0.666831 0.850581 1.113302
2026-03-01 0.253601 0.319404 0.403170 0.519453 0.679655 0.897105 1.222635
2026-03-08 0.233553 0.300049 0.386855 0.510796 0.687121 0.935200 1.322359
2026-03-15 0.214134 0.279753 0.367266 0.495266 0.682503 0.954351 1.394589
2026-03-22 0.205961 0.273872 0.366514 0.505550 0.715127 1.030028 1.561285
2026-03-29 0.198070 0.267656 0.364572 0.513526 0.744430 1.102802 1.731564
2026-04-05 0.189738 0.260145 0.360062 0.516997 0.766629 1.165924 1.892875
2026-04-12 0.181711 0.252486 0.354678 0.518458 0.785358 1.224637 2.053263
2026-04-19 0.174913 0.246155 0.350744 0.521661 0.806823 1.289512 2.232736
2026-04-26 0.164912 0.234615 0.338405 0.510885 0.804588 1.314091 2.341319
2026-05-03 0.158709 0.228489 0.334025 0.512687 0.823904 1.378880 2.538241
2026-05-10 0.151713 0.220725 0.326551 0.508691 0.832516 1.424605 2.702504
2026-05-17 0.146553 0.215512 0.322762 0.510517 0.851463 1.491355 2.920866
2026-05-24 0.140109 0.207924 0.314674 0.504305 0.855015 1.528405 3.079198
2026-05-31 0.133709 0.200087 0.305737 0.495956 0.853767 1.555562 3.218796
2026-06-07 0.126470 0.190564 0.293519 0.480975 0.838630 1.552811 3.287216
2026-06-14 0.124374 0.189328 0.295088 0.490896 0.872514 1.655455 3.628993
2026-06-21 0.121981 0.187466 0.295463 0.498588 0.902561 1.753187 3.976416
2026-06-28 0.118966 0.184415 0.293604 0.501936 0.924007 1.834310 4.295382
2026-07-05 0.115800 0.180957 0.290840 0.503345 0.941486 1.908330 4.609071